Publications

Expectation-Driven Cycle and the Changing Dynamics of Unemployment, accepted for publication in Journal of Money and Banking, with Caterina Mendicino and Federico Puglisi

Is Anything Predictable in Market-Based Surprises?, Italian Economic Journal, 2020, Vol. 7, pag. 384-410, with Alex Tagliabracci and Luca Brugnolini

A Global Trade Model for the Euro Area, International Journal of central Banking, 2017, Vol. 13(4), pag. 1-34, December, with Michele Modugno and Chiara Osbat

Combining Time Variation and Mixed Frequencies: an Analysis of Government Spending Multipliers in Italy, 2015, Journal of Applied Econometrics, Vol. 31(7), pag 1276-1290, November, with Jacopo Cimadomo 

Nowcasting Business Cycles: a Bayesian Approach to Dynamic Heterogeneous Factor Models, 2016, Advances in Econometrics, in Dynamic Factor Models, volume 35, pag 569-594, with Domenico Giannone, Michele Lenza and Michele Modugno

The Pricing of G7 Sovereign Bond Spreads - The Times, They Are a Changing, 2014, Journal of Banking and Finance, vol 47, pp 155-176, with Michael Ehrmann

Understanding and Forecasting Aggregate and Disaggregate Price Dynamics, 2014, Empirical Economics, vol 46, Issue 2, pp 765-788, with Colin Bermingham 

Macroeconomic Forecasting and Structural Change, 2013, Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol.28(1), pp 82-101, 01, with Luca Gambetti and Domenico Giannone

A Century of Inflation Forecast, 2012, The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT press, vol. 94(4), pages 1097-1106, with Paolo Surico.

Nowcasting Irish GDP, 2012, Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, vol. 2012(2), pp 21-31, with Kieran McQuinn and Derry O'Brien

Are Some Forecasters Really Better Than Others?, 2012, Journal of Money, Credit & Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 44(4), pages 715-732, 06, with Kieran McQuinn and Karl Whelan

Comparing Alternative Predictors Based on Large-Panel Factor Models, 2011, Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 74(2), pages 306-326,04 with Domenico Giannone.

Does Global Liquidity Help to Forecast US Inflation?, 2009, Journal of Money, Credit & Banking, 41, pp. 479-89, with Paolo Surico.

Federal Reserve Information During the Great Moderation, 2008, Journal of the European Economics Association, Volume 6, pp. 609-620, 2008, with Karl Whelan.